Here’s what’s happening in the stock market today:

The stock market closed mixed on March 4 amid optimism over potential U.S.-Iran de-escalation, with after-hours trading and futures showing modest gains into March 5 as tech and industrials led. 📈🛢️ Investors are balancing geopolitical relief with steady oil prices and upcoming economic data.

Major Indices Performance 📊

  • S&P 500 rose 0.8% to 6,869.50 on March 4, up 0.4% YTD.

  • Dow Jones gained 0.5% (238 points) to 48,739, up 1.4% YTD.

  • Nasdaq climbed 1.3% to 22,807, down 1.9% YTD amid tech volatility.

  • Russell 2000 added 1.1% to 2,636.

Market Movers 🚀

  • Amazon surged 3.9% in after-hours to $216.82.

  • Cisco Systems rose 2.4% to $80.87, IBM up 2.0% to $250.

  • NVIDIA gained 1.7% to $183, Caterpillar 1.4% to $732.

  • Moderna jumped nearly 16% after-hours, Coinbase up over 14%.

Key Events Driving the Market 🗞️

  • Hopes rose for U.S.-Iran de-escalation via indirect talks, boosting sentiment after Middle East tensions paused oil surges.

  • Oil prices steadied with Brent at $81.40, easing inflation fears.

  • Treasury yields ticked higher, pressuring stocks while crypto rallied.

  • S&P 500 futures steady near 6,876 in late trading.

Investor Sentiment 👀

Mood turned cautiously bullish with broad gains in tech and discretionary stocks, though YTD Nasdaq weakness lingers. Markets eye de-escalation for sustained rally amid stable energy and policy under President Trump. 🐂🌍

TRADE OF THE DAY:
IBM

Name: International Business Machines Corporation
Symbol: IBM
Current Price: ~$254.06

Trade
Sell to Open: 1 IBM Apr 2, 2026 290/295 Call Vertical (Bear Call)

Total Credit Received: $49.00
Credit per Contract: $49.00 (for one contract covering 100 shares)
Direction: Bearish (expects IBM to stay below break-even level)

Probability of Profit (PoP): 91.28%

Potential ROI:
Max Risk (Loss): $451.00
ROI: ($49 ÷ $451) × 100 ≈ 10.9%

Trade Explained in Simple English:
You’re selling a call vertical by selling the 290 strike call and buying the 295 strike call, expiring April 2, 2026. You receive $49 upfront as credit. The trade will profit if IBM stays below about $290.49 (break-even). Your potential reward is capped at $49, while your maximum loss is limited to $451 if IBM rises above $295.

Wall Street Highlights:
News Beyond the Numbers

  1. USA Rare Earth agreed to acquire the remaining stake in the Texas Round Top rare earth deposit for $73 million using common stock, accelerating its commercial production timeline to late 2028 amid rising demand for critical minerals.Read more.

  2. Ciena reported fiscal Q1 earnings of $1.14 per share and revenue of $1.43 billion, surpassing Wall Street expectations for the high-speed networking technology developer.Read more.

  3. Burlington Stores posted fiscal Q4 adjusted earnings of $4.89 per share, beating analyst forecasts as the retailer expanded its market presence.Read more.

  4. BJ's Wholesale Club delivered fiscal Q4 earnings above estimates with revenue of $5.58 billion, exceeding projections for the membership warehouse operator.Read more.

  5. Banks financing the potential buyout of Electronic Arts are planning a split debt sale of $4.7 billion and $10.5 billion, signaling active interest in major gaming sector deals.Read more.

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