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Here’s what’s happening in the stock market today:

The stock market is showing resilient gains today as chip stocks extend their rally and optimism from the US-Iran peace deal outweighs hawkish Fed signals, with the Dow hitting a fresh record high. 📈🚀 Futures for the Dow rose 0.51%, S&P 500 up 0.92%, and Nasdaq climbing 1.72%, signaling strong momentum despite the Fed's median projection now pointing to 3.8% rates by end-2026. Gold holds near $3,146, and crude oil stable around $80-82/barrel on eased Middle East tensions. 45% of Fed officials favor a rate hike this year. 🛢️💰

Major Indices Performance 📊

  • S&P 500 futures up about 0.92%, set for solid gains on chip strength.

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average futures gained 0.51%, closing at a record 52,052.31 (+1.00%).

  • Nasdaq futures led with 1.72% gains, driven by AI chip rebound and tech sector optimism.

Market Movers 🚀

  • Intel surged 8.6-9.3% after President Trump announced Apple and Intel will jointly make chips.

  • Western Digital climbed 5.5-5.9%, Seagate Technology rose 4.2% on AI storage demand.

  • Lam Research +5%, Applied Materials +4.7%, ON Semiconductor +5.9% among chip gainers.

  • ADTX (Aditxt) jumped 218-238% on extreme low-float news volatility; CAST (FreeCast) +147% on volume surge.

  • Accenture plunged 13.2-15.6% on Q3 revenue miss and lowered guidance.

Key Events Driving the Market 🗞️

  • Fed held rates steady at 3.5-3.75% under new Chair Kevin Warsh; median projection now 3.8% end-2026 vs. 3.4% in March.

  • 45% of central bankers favor a 0.25% rate hike by year-end, shifting from March's cut prediction; Warsh abstained from forecast.

  • Trump announced Apple & Intel chip partnership, driving Intel's 9% surge and semiconductor rally.

  • US-Iran initial peace deal to end conflict; chip stocks surged as geopolitical risks eased.

  • Dow reached record closing levels above 52,000 amid chip-driven gains; AI optimism revives.

Investor Sentiment 👀

Overall, investor mood is cautiously bullish as chip momentum and Middle East peace hopes balance Warsh's hawkish Fed signals. Trading volumes solid on Trump's chip announcement and Fed pause certainty, though 45% hike odds persist. Markets blend semiconductor/AI strength with geopolitical calm weighed against persistent 4.2% inflation and zero-cut expectations. 🐂⚖️

7 Stocks to Buy Before the Robots Take Over

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TRADE OF THE DAY:
NEM

Name: Newmont Corporation

Symbol: NEM

Current Price: Approximately $104.13

Trade

Sell to Open: 1 NEM Jul 10, 2026 120/125 Call Vertical

  • Total Credit Received: $60.00

  • Credit per Contract: $60.00 (for one contract covering 100 shares)

  • Direction: Bearish (expects NEM to stay below the short call strike)

Probability of Profit (PoP): 92.7% (as provided)

Potential ROI:

  • Max Risk (Loss): $440.00

  • ROI: ($60.00 ÷ $440.00) × 100 ≈ 13.6%

Trade Explained in Simple English:

You’re entering a call credit spread by selling the $120 call and buying the $125 protective call, both expiring on July 10, 2026. You receive $60.00 upfront to open the position. The trade is profitable if NEM finishes below approximately $120.60 at expiration (the break-even point), allowing you to keep all or part of the credit. Your maximum reward is limited to the $60.00 credit received, while your maximum possible loss is capped at $440.00, making this a defined-risk bearish strategy.

Wall Street Highlights:
News Beyond the Numbers

  1. Apple CEO Tim Cook said product price increases are becoming unavoidable as soaring AI-driven memory costs continue to pressure the company’s supply chain.Read More

  2. SpaceX shares pulled back after their first daily decline as a public company, with investors now watching for potential inclusion in major stock indexes.
    Read More

  3. The Federal Reserve, under new Chair Kevin Warsh, unveiled plans to review how it communicates policy, including possible changes to its long-standing “dot plot” projections.Read More

  4. General Motors is reportedly in discussions with Lockheed Martin to supply defense-related components as military manufacturers seek to expand production capacity.Read More

  5. A planned U.S.–Iran agreement aimed at extending the ceasefire and easing restrictions on Iranian assets could reshape energy and geopolitical expectations for global investors.Read More

Disclaimer: The content provided by OptionPicks is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, financial, legal, or tax advice. We are not registered as a broker-dealer, investment adviser, or financial advisor with the SEC, FINRA, or any other regulatory authority. Options trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and no representation is being made that any subscriber will or is likely to achieve profits or incur losses similar to those mentioned. You should consult with a licensed financial professional before making any investment decisions.

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