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Here’s what’s happening in the stock market today:

The stock market is showing cautious softness today as investors pause after last week's tech rally and weigh Middle East peace talk uncertainty, with futures slightly lower ahead of key inflation data. 📉⚖️ E-mini S&P 500 futures dipped 0.2%, Dow futures fell 29 points (0.1%), while Nasdaq-100 futures were flat. Chip stocks paused after Monday's surge: Micron Technology gained 4.5-5.69% on upgrades, Western Digital +4.48-5.8%, Seagate +4.56%, Intel +4.16%. Apogee Therapeutics jumped 50% on AbbVie's $4.3B acquisition; Getty Images soared 150% on OpenAI partnership; SpaceX fell 5% for its sixth consecutive session. Gold holds near $4,194/oz, Brent crude at $99.80/barrel, WTI $94.60. Treasury yields steady at 4.44%. Investors await Fed's first inflation read since Warsh's rate-hike signals. 💰🛢️

Major Indices Performance 📊

  • S&P 500 futures down 0.2%, softer start after extended weekend.

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average futures slipped 29 points (0.1%), minimal movement.

  • Nasdaq-100 futures largely unchanged, tech stocks pausing after recent rally.

Market Movers 🚀

  • Micron Technology +4.5-5.69% on two price target upgrades; expected to beat Q3 earnings.

  • Western Digital +4.48-5.8%, Seagate Technology +4.56% in memory chip rebound.

  • Apogee Therapeutics surged 50% after AbbVie's $4.3B acquisition deal.

  • Getty Images skyrocketed 150% on OpenAI partnership announced Sunday.

  • SpaceX fell 5% premarket, sixth straight decline since IPO; settling near $175-180.

  • Intel +4.16% on Trump's Apple-Intel chip deal; SMCI +5.38%, TER +5.03%.

Key Events Driving the Market 🗞️

  • Tech stocks paused after strong rally; chip stocks leading Monday's premarket gains amid US-Iran peace talk uncertainty.

  • Investors await key inflation data (PCE) closely watched by Fed; Warsh's rate-hike signals linger.

  • US-Iran diplomatic progress reports eased oil prices to ~$99 Brent, $94.60 WTI, but talks remain uncertain.

  • Cooling Japan inflation (1.5% YoY) vs. Europe price pressures and higher US mortgage costs weigh sentiment.

  • SpaceX's post-IPO correction continues; Getty Images OpenAI partnership sparks biotech/AI rally.

Investor Sentiment 👀

Overall, mood is cautious with a wait-and-watch approach as tech pauses after gains and Middle East peace talks remain unreassured. Trading volumes moderate ahead of inflation data, blending chip optimism with geopolitical caution against Warsh's 2026 hike odds. Markets reflect subdued momentum from recent strength balanced against persistent inflation and rate uncertainty. 🐂⚖️

3 Backdoor Plays Before the SpaceX IPO

SpaceX is reportedly valued north of $350B — the biggest pre-IPO story of the decade.

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From the satellite supplier embedded in Starlink's hardware to a defense contractor sitting on a multi-year Falcon 9 deal, these are the tickers Wall Street is quietly accumulating ahead of the listing.

Grab the full breakdown in our free SpaceX IPO Playbook, including target levels, risk tiers, and the one name our analysts think has the most upside.

TRADE OF THE DAY:
JBL

Symbol: JBL

Current Price: Approximately $372.43

Trade

Sell to Open: 1 JBL Jul 17, 2026 315/310 Put Vertical

  • Total Credit Received: $65.00

  • Credit per Contract: $65.00 (for one contract covering 100 shares)

  • Direction: Bullish (expects JBL to remain above the break-even level)

Probability of Profit (PoP): 85.63% (as provided)

Potential ROI:

  • Max Risk (Loss): $435.00

  • ROI: ($65.00 ÷ $435.00) × 100 ≈ 14.9%

Trade Explained in Simple English:

You’re entering a bullish put credit spread by selling the $315 put and buying the $310 put, both expiring on July 17, 2026. You collect $65.00 upfront, and the trade reaches maximum profit if JBL stays above the short strike through expiration. The break-even price is $314.35, so as long as the stock closes above that level at expiration, the position is profitable. Your potential loss is capped at $435.00, while your maximum reward is limited to the $65.00 credit received.

Wall Street Highlights:
News Beyond the Numbers

  1. AbbVie agreed to acquire Apogee Therapeutics in a deal valued at roughly $10.9 billion, expanding its pipeline in immunology and related treatments.
    Read More

  2. Memory chipmakers including Micron and Sandisk continued attracting attention as surging AI-driven demand boosts expectations ahead of upcoming earnings and product cycles.Read More

  3. Accenture announced a major push into industrial cybersecurity with a planned $4 billion investment that includes acquiring a controlling stake in Dragos and other security firms.Read More

  4. Coca-Cola remains locked in a high-stakes tax dispute with the IRS involving more than $20 billion tied to foreign profit allocations.Read More

  5. Demand for AI infrastructure is driving higher prices for memory and storage chips, increasing costs for products such as smartphones and gaming devices.Read More

Disclaimer: The content provided by OptionPicks is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, financial, legal, or tax advice. We are not registered as a broker-dealer, investment adviser, or financial advisor with the SEC, FINRA, or any other regulatory authority. Options trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and no representation is being made that any subscriber will or is likely to achieve profits or incur losses similar to those mentioned. You should consult with a licensed financial professional before making any investment decisions.

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