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Here’s what’s happening in the stock market today:

The U.S. stock market shows mixed performance early Tuesday, December 9, 2025, with the Dow Jones up about 0.2-0.3%, S&P 500 near flat, and Nasdaq lagging amid anticipation for the Federal Reserve's rate decision later today. 📈⚖️ Futures point slightly higher for S&P 500 and Nasdaq by 0.1%, reflecting cautious optimism despite recent volatility from tech and policy news. Investors digest softer inflation data, AI chip developments, and upcoming economic reports like JOLTS job openings.​

Major Indices Performance 📊

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: Up 0.2-0.3% around 44,807, with modest monthly gains of 0.73%.​

  • S&P 500: Near flat at about 6,464, up 3.10% over the past month.​

  • Nasdaq Composite: Down 0.14% near 21,684, but with strong yearly gains of 26.11%.​

Market Movers 🚀

  • Nvidia surges 1.57-2.2% premarket after U.S. approval to resume H200 AI chip shipments to approved China customers.​

  • Ares Management jumps 8.71% on S&P 500 inclusion news effective December 11.​

  • Broadcom gains around 2.8% amid reports of Microsoft custom chip collaboration; Carvana up 12.1% on index inclusion rumors.​

  • Paramount Skydance (PSKY) climbs 9% on $108.4B bid for Warner Bros. Discovery; Netflix dips in response.​

  • Home Depot falls on weak 2026 outlook.​

Key Events Driving the Market 🗞️​

Federal Reserve meeting kicks off with focus on rate cuts, dot plot updates, and economic outlook amid persistent inflation and shutdown-delayed data. Nvidia's China chip approval boosts AI sector sentiment, while JOLTS data release adds to labor market scrutiny. Treasury yields hover elevated, and global bonds steady post-selloff.​

Investor Sentiment 👀

Traders remain cautiously optimistic, balancing Fed expectations for cuts, tech innovations, and M&A activity against inflation and policy uncertainties. Volume stays subdued pre-Fed, with tech leading gains but broader caution on economic data. 🐂🔍

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TRADE OF THE DAY:
DECK

Name: Deckers Outdoor Corp.
Symbol: DECK
Current Price: ~ $100.63

Trade
Sell to Open: 1 DECK Dec 19, 2025 94/89 Put Vertical (Bull Put)

Total Credit Received: $43.00
Credit per Contract: $43.00
Direction: Bullish (expects DECK to stay above break-even)

Probability of Profit (PoP): 83.68%

Potential ROI:
Max Risk (Loss): $457.00
ROI: ($43.00 ÷ $457.00) × 100 ≈ 9.4%

Trade Explained in Simple English:
You’re selling the 94-strike put and buying a protective 89-strike put for December 19, 2025. You receive $43 upfront. If DECK stays above about $93.57 (your break-even), both puts expire worthless and you keep the credit. Your maximum loss is capped at $457 if DECK falls below $89 at expiration. This is considered bullish because profit occurs if DECK stays above the break-even level.

Wall Street Highlights:
News Beyond the Numbers

  1. President Donald Trump approved Nvidia’s H200 chip sales to China under a revenue-sharing agreement imposing a 25% fee, boosting the company's shares despite China's plans to limit access. Read more.

  2. Ares Management will join the S&P 500 index on December 11, replacing Kellanova ahead of its $36 billion acquisition by Mars, driving Ares shares up 7.2% in after-hours trading. Read more.

  3. Paramount Skydance launched a hostile $108.4 billion all-cash bid for Warner Bros. Discovery at $30 per share, outbidding Netflix and fully backed by the Ellison family and major lenders. Read more.

  4. Microsoft is in talks with Broadcom to develop custom AI chips, shifting from its prior collaboration with Marvell amid intensifying competition in cloud and AI sectors. Read more.

  5. ICICI Bank plans to acquire an additional stake in ICICI Prudential AMC, while Larsen & Toubro approved transferring its realty business to a subsidiary, drawing investor attention. Read more.

Disclaimer: The content provided by OptionPicks is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, financial, legal, or tax advice. We are not registered as a broker-dealer, investment adviser, or financial advisor with the SEC, FINRA, or any other regulatory authority. Options trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and no representation is being made that any subscriber will or is likely to achieve profits or incur losses similar to those mentioned. You should consult with a licensed financial professional before making any investment decisions.

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